Hendon vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
HAR
5 - 5
HEN
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HEN
2 - 4
LEI
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
HEN
3 - 0
FAR
53%
22%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BIL
3 - 1
HEN
59%
21%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
HEN
2 - 2
GRA
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 2
ENF
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 3
MET
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
STA
1 - 2
WIN
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
VCD
2 - 1
WIN
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
WIN
0 - 1
BIL
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |