Hendon vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
ENF
2 - 0
HEN
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
HEN
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HEN
3 - 1
VCD
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
HEN
1 - 1
KIN
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HAM
5 - 0
HEN
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
YEL
2 - 1
DER
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 3
YEL
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
YEL
2 - 0
HAR
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
HEY
1 - 1
YEL
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
THU
5 - 1
YEL
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |