Hemsworth MW vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
HEM
4 - 4
OSS
14%
19%
67%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HEM
1 - 2
ARM
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
WAS
1 - 0
RUN
19%
20%
61%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RUN
6 - 0
PON
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
RUN
6 - 1
GLA
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GLA
2 - 2
RUN
11%
17%
72%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
RUN
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |