Hemsworth MW vs Garforth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
66.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
HEM
2 - 2
GOO
16%
17%
68%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
HEM
3 - 4
GBO
8%
14%
79%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SIL
6 - 2
HEM
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
STA
5 - 1
HEM
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
HEM
3 - 4
SHC
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Garforth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GAR
1 - 0
KNA
60%
18%
22%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
GAR
30%
20%
50%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GAR
1 - 3
BOT
47%
20%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
THA
0 - 4
GAR
18%
17%
65%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
HAN
3 - 2
GAR
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |