Hemsworth MW vs AFC Mansfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
71.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 4
HEM
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
HEM
0 - 6
ECC
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HAN
5 - 3
HEM
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
HEM
0 - 5
GAR
17%
17%
67%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
HEM
2 - 2
GOO
16%
17%
68%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Mansfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 3
KNA
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
THA
2 - 1
MAN
15%
19%
67%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAN
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -3 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 2
BOT
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 0
SIL
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |