Hemsworth MW vs AFC Emley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HEM
1 - 0
GUA
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HAN
2 - 1
HEM
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
YOR
0 - 3
HEM
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
HEM
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
HEM
0 - 2
BAR
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Emley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 0
SIL
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 5
AFC
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 2
AFC
11%
17%
73%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 0
GAR
29%
21%
51%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAL
1 - 1
AFC
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |