Hemsworth MW vs AFC Emley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
60.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MAL
4 - 1
HEM
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 0
HEM
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HEM
1 - 1
MAN
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 4
HEM
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
HEM
0 - 6
ECC
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Emley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
5 - 1
AFC
49%
22%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
STA
2 - 0
AFC
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
6 - 1
BOT
30%
21%
49%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 2
ALB
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
THA
3 - 2
AFC
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |