Helston Athletic vs Mousehole AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helston Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HEA
3 - 1
CLE
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 2
HEA
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
STR
0 - 0
HEA
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ASH
1 - 1
HEA
22%
21%
58%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HEA
1 - 1
BAR
31%
21%
48%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mousehole AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 3
MAF
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 0
SHE
63%
19%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SHE
3 - 3
MAF
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ILF
0 - 4
MAF
8%
14%
78%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
MLB
0 - 1
MAF
8%
14%
78%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +1 |