Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 4-2
Helsingborgs IF vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helsingborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
SYR
1 - 3
HEL
17%
19%
64%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
KAL
2 - 0
HEL
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 1
ORG
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
HÄC
3 - 0
HEL
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
HEL
2 - 2
TRE
70%
19%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
PYU
3 - 0
MIK
56%
24%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
MIK
2 - 1
KIL
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 2
MIK
56%
24%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ULI
1 - 2
MIK
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ARA
0 - 1
MIK
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |