Hellerup IK vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
12º
8º
44
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellerup IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
BFR
2 - 3
HEL
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
HEL
1 - 0
FCH
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HEL
0 - 1
THI
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
LFA
4 - 0
HEL
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
HEL
3 - 0
NAE
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AAF
2 - 0
THI
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SKI
1 - 0
AAF
19%
23%
58%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FCH
0 - 2
AAF
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 0
BFR
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
SKI
3 - 0
AAF
20%
21%
59%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |