Hellas Verona vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2002 |
GEN
2 - 2
VER
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
VER
1 - 0
TRI
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
ASC
0 - 0
VER
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
VER
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
VER
4 - 2
VIC
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 0
LIV
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 1
LEC
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
LEC
0 - 0
TER
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
SIE
0 - 0
LEC
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
CAG
1 - 1
LEC
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |