Heist vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VIS
0 - 1
HEI
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 1
LOM
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
TUB
2 - 2
HEI
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 1
EUP
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
5 - 0
HEI
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
EEA
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 0
DES
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
WSB
1 - 0
EXC
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
KSV
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |