Heimstetten vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
ROS
1 - 0
HEI
49%
23%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
HEI
4 - 1
UNT
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +3 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 0
HEI
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
HEI
2 - 2
TSG
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
UNT
3 - 2
HEI
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
ISM
5 - 5
BAY
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
BAY
0 - 1
ROS
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
BAY
3 - 1
BUC
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
ERB
1 - 1
BAY
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
BAY
2 - 1
BAD
68%
20%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |