Heidenheim vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
HEI
3 - 4
STP
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
EBT
1 - 0
HEI
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
KSC
1 - 1
HEI
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
HEI
3 - 0
DAR
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
SVS
4 - 0
HEI
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
ERZ
3 - 3
HSV
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
SGF
3 - 0
ERZ
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
ERZ
2 - 1
WUR
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
OSN
0 - 1
ERZ
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ERZ
0 - 3
F95
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |