Heidenheim vs Köln analysis

Heidenheim Köln
85 ELO 86
-0.8% Tilt 15.2%
121º General ELO ranking 85º
19º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
37.2%
Heidenheim
24.5%
Draw
38.4%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
Heidenheim
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.4%
Win probability
Köln
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heidenheim
+3%
-3%
Köln

Points and table prediction

Heidenheim
Their league position
Köln
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
16º
27
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
B. Leverkusen
90
90
100%
Stuttgart
73
73
100%
Bayern München
72
72
100%
RB Leipzig
65
65
100%
B. Dortmund
63
63
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt
47
47
100%
Hoffenheim
46
46
100%
Heidenheim
42
42
0%
Werder Bremen
42
42
0%
SC Freiburg
10º
42
42
10º
100%
FC Augsburg
11º
39
39
11º
100%
Wolfsburg
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Mainz 05
13º
35
35
13º
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Union Berlin
15º
33
33
15º
0%
VfL Bochum
16º
33
33
16º
0%
Köln
17º
27
27
17º
100%
Darmstadt 98
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Heidenheim
Köln
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Heidenheim
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heidenheim
Heidenheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2024
SCF
SC Freiburg
1 - 1
Heidenheim
HEI
60%
21%
19%
85 90 5 0
05 May. 2024
HEI
Heidenheim
1 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
35%
25%
41%
85 87 2 0
28 Apr. 2024
DAR
Darmstadt 98
0 - 1
Heidenheim
HEI
32%
24%
44%
84 81 3 +1
20 Apr. 2024
HEI
Heidenheim
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
RBL
11%
17%
73%
84 96 12 0
13 Apr. 2024
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 1
Heidenheim
HEI
39%
24%
37%
84 83 1 0

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2024
KOL
Köln
3 - 2
Union Berlin
FCU
36%
27%
38%
86 88 2 0
04 May. 2024
KOL
Köln
0 - 0
SC Freiburg
SCF
26%
24%
50%
85 90 5 +1
28 Apr. 2024
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Köln
KOL
41%
25%
34%
85 87 2 0
20 Apr. 2024
KOL
Köln
0 - 2
Darmstadt 98
DAR
51%
24%
26%
85 80 5 0
13 Apr. 2024
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 0
Köln
KOL
82%
12%
6%
85 98 13 0