Heidenheim U19 vs Nürnberg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
11º
14º
11º
30
8º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
HEI
82%
12%
5%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAI
2 - 0
HEI
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
2 - 0
STU
6%
12%
82%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +4 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AUG
0 - 1
HEI
77%
14%
8%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
HEI
3 - 4
ING
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NUR
4 - 1
SDH
83%
10%
6%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
NUR
6 - 1
GRE
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NUR
3 - 5
ING
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 1
NUR
13%
18%
70%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NUR
2 - 2
BYM
35%
21%
45%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |