Heidelberg Utd vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+125%
+215%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
WEC
0 - 0
HEU
14%
18%
69%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
HUM
0 - 2
HEU
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
HEU
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HEU
2 - 2
BEN
38%
25%
38%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 2
HEU
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DAN
6 - 3
GOU
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
PAS
0 - 0
DAN
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DAN
0 - 1
SOU
17%
22%
61%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BRD
0 - 1
DAN
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
WEC
2 - 1
DAN
20%
21%
60%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |