Heerjansdam vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
47.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
15º
13º
30
1º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerjansdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RKA
2 - 3
HEE
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HEE
1 - 2
SMI
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HEE
2 - 2
WES
35%
22%
43%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DSO
1 - 0
HEE
33%
22%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HEE
1 - 2
FCS
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NIE
3 - 0
CAP
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DSO
2 - 1
NIE
35%
21%
44%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NIE
1 - 4
FCS
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HBS
0 - 0
NIE
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 1
POO
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |