Heerenveen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FEY
3 - 1
SCH
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 3
SCH
35%
22%
44%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
SMR
1 - 2
SCH
3%
8%
90%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
HER
47%
24%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
SCH
2 - 0
RJC
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 3
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 2
HIB
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 0
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 2
WIL
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |