Heerenveen vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCH
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 1
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
VVV
0 - 2
SCH
23%
22%
55%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VVV
0 - 3
SCH
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 0
GRO
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 3
GRO
25%
24%
52%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
UTR
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FEY
4 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
NEC
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |