Heerenveen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
FEY
1 - 1
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 2
FCD
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 1
LEV
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
MVV
0 - 2
SCH
18%
20%
62%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 0
ALM
87%
10%
4%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 2
GAE
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
TEL
0 - 1
EXC
23%
23%
55%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 0
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
JON
1 - 2
EXC
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |