Heerenveen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
TWE
1 - 1
SCH
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
1 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 0
PRO
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
NEC
4 - 2
SCH
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
RJC
1 - 0
SCH
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
UTR
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
RJC
2 - 3
EXC
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
RKC
0 - 3
EXC
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 2
AZA
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
EXC
4 - 2
GRO
65%
19%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |