Heerenveen U21 vs Excelsior U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
HER
3 - 0
NAC
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
HER
2 - 3
WIL
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
EMM
1 - 2
HER
17%
20%
64%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
NEC
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
EXC
0 - 0
HER
21%
21%
59%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
EMM
1 - 2
EXC
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
NEC
3 - 1
EXC
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
EXC
2 - 2
GRA
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
VOL
4 - 2
EXC
69%
16%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
EXC
0 - 0
HER
21%
21%
59%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |