Hednesford Town vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LEA
1 - 1
HED
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
FYL
3 - 2
HED
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
HED
2 - 3
TAM
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
STO
3 - 0
HED
49%
23%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
HED
1 - 1
BAR
44%
24%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
FYL
3 - 0
GAI
61%
21%
17%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
GAI
0 - 2
BAR
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
GAI
2 - 1
BRA
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SOL
2 - 0
GAI
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 1
BOS
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |