Hedensted vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
68.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hedensted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HED
3 - 1
LYS
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
HED
3 - 0
SKA
75%
15%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
RAN
1 - 4
HED
48%
21%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
HED
3 - 2
THI
4%
9%
87%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
VFF
0 - 1
HED
50%
21%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
IFL
0 - 1
AAF
30%
25%
46%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
AAF
1 - 1
SYD
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
AAF
0 - 0
KJE
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
HOL
0 - 3
AAF
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
RIN
0 - 1
AAF
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |