Hedensted vs Aarhus Fremad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hedensted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
HFS
1 - 1
HED
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HED
1 - 2
BOL
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HED
2 - 2
BOL
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TAR
5 - 1
HED
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
B19
0 - 4
HED
31%
23%
45%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AAR
4 - 1
B19
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TAR
1 - 1
AAR
35%
23%
42%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
VRI
1 - 1
AAR
11%
17%
72%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AAB
1 - 3
AAR
26%
22%
53%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 4
AAR
14%
19%
67%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |