Hebros vs Chernomorec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
STA
3 - 0
HEB
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
HEB
1 - 1
SOZ
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
TUN
1 - 2
HEB
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
HEB
1 - 0
BGA
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 0
HEB
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
CHN
3 - 0
GIG
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
FKM
0 - 6
CHN
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CHN
1 - 1
ROZ
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
FKS
0 - 3
CHN
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ARK
1 - 2
CHN
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |