Hebar 2011 vs Perun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebar 2011
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GER
5 - 0
HEB
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HEB
0 - 8
OBO
22%
24%
55%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -3 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
STR
0 - 0
HEB
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
HEB
2 - 2
CHE
20%
22%
59%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
PIR
11 - 1
HEB
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Perun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PEK
5 - 0
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
LEP
0 - 1
PEK
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
PEK
2 - 0
VDD
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
PEK
2 - 0
VEL
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
STR
0 - 1
PEK
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |