Hearts II vs Stirling University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
13º
11º
35
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
31 | 31 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hearts II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
BON
4 - 3
HOM
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
HOM
0 - 2
CIV
60%
20%
20%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
HOM
1 - 1
LIN
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
CIV
2 - 5
HOM
34%
24%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 2
CUM
67%
18%
15%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Stirling University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
STI
1 - 0
ALB
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
STI
1 - 2
CFC
12%
18%
70%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CWB
2 - 1
STI
47%
23%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
CFC
7 - 0
STI
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
STI
2 - 2
BON
32%
25%
44%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |