Hearts II vs Stirling University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
16º
13º
71
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
71 | 71 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
64 | 64 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 51 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 16 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
8 | 8 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hearts II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GAL
3 - 3
HOM
27%
21%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 3
TRA
18%
21%
62%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 3
RFC
10%
17%
74%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BFC
1 - 1
HOM
48%
21%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CUM
2 - 1
HOM
29%
21%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Stirling University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 3
STI
23%
20%
58%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
STI
0 - 2
CIV
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BER
2 - 2
STI
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CUM
1 - 3
STI
27%
22%
52%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
STI
1 - 0
CWB
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |