Heart of Midlothian vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
15.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1938 |
HOM
6 - 2
FAL
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1938 |
TLA
1 - 4
HOM
41%
22%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
HOM
5 - 1
KIL
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
HOM
3 - 2
GLA
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
ARB
3 - 5
HOM
23%
21%
57%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1938 |
ABE
6 - 1
TLA
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1938 |
TLA
1 - 4
HOM
41%
22%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
TLA
1 - 1
PAR
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
MHE
4 - 4
TLA
71%
16%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1938 |
PAR
1 - 3
TLA
60%
19%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |