Heart of Midlothian vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1923 |
STM
2 - 1
HOM
50%
24%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
HIB
2 - 1
HOM
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
HOM
1 - 2
HAM
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
ALB
1 - 2
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
HOM
0 - 3
CEL
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1923 |
TLA
2 - 2
ALB
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
PAR
3 - 0
TLA
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
TLA
1 - 3
STM
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
TLA
2 - 0
DUN
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
HAM
3 - 1
TLA
25%
23%
52%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |