Heart of Midlothian vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
HOM
0 - 1
QUE
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1922 |
RAI
3 - 1
HOM
55%
22%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1922 |
HOM
3 - 2
STM
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
HOM
0 - 2
HIB
55%
22%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
KIL
3 - 0
HOM
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
TLA
2 - 2
ALB
84%
12%
5%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1922 |
CEL
2 - 0
TLA
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1922 |
TLA
0 - 1
QUE
85%
11%
5%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
PAR
2 - 2
TLA
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
FAL
1 - 2
TLA
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |