Heart of Midlothian vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
HOM
1 - 0
HAM
84%
11%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
TLA
1 - 3
HOM
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1908 |
PGA
1 - 0
HOM
13%
19%
68%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1908 |
HOM
5 - 0
GRE
87%
9%
4%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1908 |
GLA
4 - 3
HOM
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
GRE
1 - 1
TLA
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
TLA
2 - 1
DUN
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
TLA
1 - 3
HOM
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1908 |
TLA
1 - 1
CLY
87%
9%
5%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1908 |
KIL
4 - 2
TLA
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |