Heart of Midlothian vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1901 |
HOM
2 - 2
CEL
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1901 |
QUE
2 - 1
HOM
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1901 |
KIL
1 - 0
HOM
27%
23%
50%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1901 |
HOM
4 - 0
DUN
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1901 |
STM
1 - 2
HOM
32%
23%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1901 |
TLA
0 - 0
KIL
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1901 |
DUN
1 - 1
TLA
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1901 |
HIB
2 - 2
TLA
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1901 |
TLA
2 - 2
GLA
25%
21%
54%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1901 |
TLA
0 - 2
CEL
29%
22%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |