Heart of Midlothian vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1899 |
CEL
0 - 2
HOM
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1899 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1899 |
HOM
1 - 1
GLA
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1899 |
HOM
3 - 0
STM
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1899 |
STB
2 - 4
HOM
22%
20%
58%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1899 |
KIL
1 - 1
TLA
54%
22%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1899 |
TLA
0 - 3
CEL
32%
22%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1899 |
TLA
5 - 0
CLY
75%
14%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1899 |
CEL
5 - 2
TLA
68%
18%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1899 |
TLA
5 - 1
STM
42%
22%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |