Heart of Midlothian vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1891 |
HOM
2 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1891 |
DUM
5 - 1
HOM
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1891 |
HOM
4 - 2
REN
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1891 |
CAM
3 - 3
HOM
61%
19%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1891 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUM
48%
22%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1891 |
TLA
3 - 1
CAM
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1891 |
STM
1 - 2
TLA
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1891 |
GLA
2 - 3
TLA
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1891 |
TLA
0 - 3
LEI
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1891 |
GLA
4 - 1
TLA
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |