Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HOM
0 - 0
DUN
33%
26%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
HOM
3 - 3
QOS
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ROS
2 - 1
HOM
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HOM
1 - 3
CEL
24%
25%
50%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ICT
2 - 0
HOM
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
STM
1 - 1
ABE
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HIB
2 - 0
STM
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STM
0 - 1
MHE
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STM
1 - 2
PAR
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
QOS
2 - 1
STM
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |