Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ICT
1 - 1
HOM
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
22%
29%
49%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
HOM
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 2
ROS
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HOM
1 - 0
MHE
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STM
1 - 4
ABE
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HIB
2 - 1
STM
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
ABE
2 - 2
STM
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STM
0 - 1
DUN
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
STM
0 - 5
CEL
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |