Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
HOM
4 - 1
ICT
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
AEK
3 - 0
HOM
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
GLA
2 - 0
HOM
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
HOM
0 - 0
FAL
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
HOM
1 - 2
AEK
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
STM
1 - 3
DUN
54%
26%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
STM
1 - 1
ABE
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
CEL
2 - 0
STM
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
STM
2 - 0
MHE
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
ICT
1 - 2
STM
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |