Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
MHE
3 - 0
HOM
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
HOM
1 - 2
CEL
60%
20%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
HIB
3 - 1
HOM
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1948 |
HOM
3 - 2
TLA
54%
20%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1948 |
DUN
2 - 1
HOM
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1948 |
STM
3 - 1
ABE
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
EAS
3 - 1
STM
64%
17%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
STM
2 - 1
GRE
53%
21%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1948 |
ALB
1 - 2
STM
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1948 |
STM
2 - 1
CLY
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |