Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1946 |
MHE
0 - 2
HOM
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1946 |
FAL
3 - 3
HOM
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1946 |
CEL
2 - 3
HOM
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1946 |
HOM
4 - 1
TLA
71%
15%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1946 |
HOM
1 - 4
PAR
74%
14%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1946 |
STM
4 - 2
ABE
28%
23%
49%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1946 |
STM
1 - 3
CLY
45%
22%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1946 |
STM
1 - 2
QOS
50%
22%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1946 |
HAM
1 - 4
STM
73%
15%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 1946 |
QUE
3 - 2
STM
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |