Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1937 |
HOM
3 - 2
HIB
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1937 |
FAL
4 - 2
HOM
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1937 |
HOM
2 - 1
TLA
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1937 |
STJ
1 - 2
HOM
41%
23%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1937 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
28%
21%
52%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1937 |
KIL
0 - 3
STM
67%
17%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1937 |
STM
4 - 1
QUE
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1937 |
CLY
1 - 1
STM
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1937 |
STM
2 - 1
ABE
30%
22%
49%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1937 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
28%
21%
52%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |