Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1933 |
DUN
2 - 2
HOM
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1933 |
HOM
3 - 1
CWB
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1932 |
AIR
2 - 7
HOM
24%
21%
55%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1932 |
HOM
1 - 2
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1932 |
STJ
2 - 1
HOM
29%
22%
49%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1933 |
STM
1 - 1
GRE
79%
12%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1933 |
KIL
0 - 1
STM
52%
20%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1932 |
STM
1 - 2
FAL
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1932 |
GLA
4 - 0
STM
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1932 |
STM
7 - 1
AIR
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |