Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
HAM
3 - 2
HOM
36%
23%
42%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
CEL
1 - 0
HOM
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
HOM
2 - 1
PAR
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
HOM
4 - 1
TLA
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
KIL
3 - 2
HOM
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
GLA
1 - 1
STM
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
STJ
1 - 0
STM
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
STM
1 - 0
HIB
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1928 |
PAR
2 - 4
STM
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
STM
2 - 3
MHE
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |