Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1905 |
GRE
2 - 1
HOM
18%
21%
62%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1905 |
HOM
4 - 0
PGA
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1905 |
ABE
2 - 1
HOM
35%
23%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1905 |
HOM
1 - 0
FAL
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1905 |
KIL
1 - 1
HOM
24%
22%
55%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1905 |
AIR
0 - 0
STM
55%
20%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1905 |
STM
1 - 1
MHE
78%
12%
10%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1905 |
STM
1 - 1
DUN
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1905 |
CEL
2 - 1
STM
81%
12%
8%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1905 |
PGA
1 - 2
STM
40%
21%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |