Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1900 |
CEL
1 - 3
HOM
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1900 |
KIL
1 - 3
HOM
29%
23%
48%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1900 |
HOM
0 - 0
TLA
66%
18%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1900 |
HOM
1 - 2
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1900 |
STM
2 - 1
HOM
30%
22%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1900 |
GLA
5 - 2
STM
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1900 |
STM
0 - 2
HIB
34%
24%
43%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1900 |
STM
4 - 3
QUE
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1900 |
QUE
0 - 0
STM
27%
23%
50%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1900 |
STM
2 - 1
HOM
30%
22%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |