Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
5º
4º
33
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MHE
2 - 0
HOM
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 2
HOM
15%
21%
65%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
HOM
0 - 3
GLA
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 0
HOM
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 1
STM
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
STJ
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 4
CEL
11%
19%
70%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MHE
0 - 2
STJ
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GLA
2 - 0
STJ
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |