Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 0
LIV
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
HIB
0 - 1
HOM
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
HOM
2 - 0
HAM
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ABE
2 - 0
HOM
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
STJ
1 - 0
LIV
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
STJ
2 - 0
HAM
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 2
STJ
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
STM
0 - 1
STJ
31%
27%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
STJ
1 - 2
GLA
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |