Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
HOM
1 - 0
STJ
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
CEL
3 - 1
HOM
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
HOM
1 - 1
MHE
55%
23%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
HAM
0 - 3
HOM
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
HOM
1 - 0
HIB
54%
23%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
MHE
2 - 0
STJ
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
HOM
1 - 0
STJ
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 4
STJ
14%
20%
66%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
STJ
1 - 3
PAR
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
STJ
0 - 2
DUN
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |